Is this solvable?

  • Thread starter StatsChallenged
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StatsChallenged

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Is this a solvable problem? Can someone please explain one way or the other…here goes:

There are two parking lots in a bad part of town: Lot A and Lot B.

If someone were to park in Lot A, there is a 10% probability their car will be broken into by a thief.

If someone were to park in Lot B, there is a 50% probability their car will be broken into by a thief.

Suppose you know that someone parked in one of these two lots and that they had their car was broken into. You don't know for certain which lot they parked in.

Is it possible to determine a probability associated with which parking lot they parked in?